Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:16:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0821…82d5
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$1
sports 25% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $12 12m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 22m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 87¢ $7 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 27h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +19.5% +8.1% 100% 75% +12.2%
≤30d 4 +19.5% +8.1% 100% 75% +12.2%
≤90d 4 +19.5% +8.1% 100% 75% +12.2%
all 4 +19.5% +8.1% 100% 75% +12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.1% 75% +12.2%
10% -2.2% 25% +1.5%
15% -11.7% 25% -8.3%
20% -20.3% 0% -17.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.93 · official $11.93 (match) · 11 history records