Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0827…d384
crypto · 1341 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$689 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$689 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$689
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses416 / 806
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1222 / 1341
History coverage28d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day118.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 1222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$274
7 days−$271
14 days−$183
30 days−$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$275
other 14% −$84
sports 1% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $13 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -27.5% -34.4% 26% 25% -51.8%
≤30d 1222 -9.5% -18.2% 34% 33% -19.4%
≤90d 1222 -9.5% -18.2% 34% 33% -19.4%
all 1222 -9.5% -18.2% 34% 33% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 33% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 31% -27.1%
15% -33.1% 29% -34.1%
20% -39.7% 27% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records