Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x082b…5e67
crypto · 912 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,247 -71%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$784 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$784
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses711 / 196
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)907 / 912
History coverage86d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day25.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 907 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$19
14 days−$111
30 days−$272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 97¢ 98¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 75¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+32%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 83¢ 55¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-34%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $6 +$11 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $68 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $78 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $61 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +19%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $28 +$12 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $21 −$21 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$683
sports 5% −$86
other 3% −$11
weather 0% −$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 97¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 57m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +0.1% -9.4% 81% 46% -11.3%
≤30d 242 -3.8% -13.0% 76% 40% -13.9%
≤90d 907 -4.8% -13.9% 78% 41% -15.6%
all 907 -4.8% -13.9% 78% 41% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 41% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 22% -23.7%
15% -29.6% 13% -31.1%
20% -36.5% 6% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.04 · official $49.04 (match) · 3500 history records