trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 50% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 58% | 42% | -16.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 58% | 42% | -16.6% |
| all | 12 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 58% | 42% | -16.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 42% | -16.6% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 33% | -24.6% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 25% | -31.9% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 25% | -38.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 10 | $8 | +$15 | +176% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | Jun 01 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | May 29 | $134 | +$4 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $124 | +$9 | +8% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 20 | $72 | +$52 | +72% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | May 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |