Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0853…a977
crypto · 782 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses703 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)782 / 782
History coverage22d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days−$16
14 days−$163
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $126 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $40 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $77 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $99 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $99 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 +6.7% -3.4% 90% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 782 +3.0% -6.8% 90% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 782 +3.0% -6.8% 90% 0% -9.7%
all 782 +3.0% -6.8% 90% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 0% -18.3%
15% -23.8% 0% -26.2%
20% -31.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.07 · official $0.00 · 2503 history records