Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0863…88ca
crypto · 1191 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses671 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1191 / 1191
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day155.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$79
14 days−$117
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$162
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 587 -13.7% -21.9% 57% 38% -12.6%
≤30d 1191 -10.8% -19.3% 56% 38% -13.6%
≤90d 1191 -10.8% -19.3% 56% 38% -13.6%
all 1191 -10.8% -19.3% 56% 38% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover155.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 38% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 29% -21.8%
15% -34.0% 20% -29.4%
20% -40.5% 11% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3320 history records