trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 33% | +28.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +21.8% | +10.2% | 50% | 40% | +42.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +21.8% | +10.2% | 50% | 40% | +42.4% |
| all | 32 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 50% | 47% | +5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.7% | 47% | +5.4% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 44% | -4.7% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 38% | -13.9% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 31% | -22.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 39¢ | 28¢ | $180 | $127 | −$53 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $201 | +$19 | +10% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$4 | -37% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $304 | +$295 | +97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $203 | +$161 | +79% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $82 | +$242 | +296% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $174 | +$252 | +145% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $144 | −$104 | -72% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Feb 14 | $300 | −$236 | -79% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Feb 01 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Wizards | Jan 28 | $299 | −$243 | -81% |
| Knicks vs. Warriors | Jan 16 | $224 | +$60 | +27% |
| Hornets vs. Lakers | Jan 16 | $260 | −$35 | -13% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | Jan 16 | $254 | +$149 | +59% |
| Grizzlies vs. Magic | Jan 15 | $165 | +$89 | +54% |
| Nets vs. Pelicans | Jan 15 | $100 | −$10 | -10% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 11 | $60 | +$25 | +41% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | Nov 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Nov 18 | $170 | +$42 | +25% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 09 | $20 | +$30 | +152% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Nov 09 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025 | Nov 07 | $40 | +$45 | +112% |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Nov 05 | $183 | +$26 | +14% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 1? | Oct 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 31 | $217 | +$174 | +80% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 30 | $297 | +$121 | +41% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $4,200 October 6-12? | Oct 13 | $40 | +$26 | +64% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 9? | Oct 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |