trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 40% | 20% | -12.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 76% | 6% | -15.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 76% | 6% | -15.0% |
| all | 17 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 76% | 6% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 6% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 6% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 6% | -30.6% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 6% | -37.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 16 | $14 | +$1 | +9% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +257% |
| Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate | Jun 11 | $2 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el | Jun 10 | $3 | −$2 | -80% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 09 | $9 | −$4 | -43% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |