Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:33:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
08 0x0888…77f9 crypto 17 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$5 (-1%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate53%9W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day63.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$7
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -9.4% -18.1% 53% 41% -12.4%
≤30d 17 -9.4% -18.1% 53% 41% -12.4%
≤90d 17 -9.4% -18.1% 53% 41% -12.4%
all 17 -9.4% -18.1% 53% 41% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 41% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 18% -20.8%
15% -33.1% 12% -28.4%
20% -39.6% 6% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 50% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$7 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses9 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 17 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $56 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $57 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +19%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $33 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 75 history records