trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 23 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 27 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | May 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23? | May 20 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 15 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | May 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9? | May 07 | $12 | −$3 | -25% |
| Will the next Pope be from South America? | May 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | May 06 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 05 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 30 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Apr 29 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | -40% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $77000 and $79000 on Mar 21? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Mar 19 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Boise State vs. Air Force | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | -2% |