Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:39:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0890…c657
crypto · 121 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$680 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$680 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$680
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses43 / 78
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage150d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 +$122 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 12 $505 −$86 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 12 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 12 $103 +$75 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 12 $205 −$91 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 12 $26 −$22 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 12 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 12 $26 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 12 $118 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET May 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 07 $4 +$14 +350%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 01 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Apr 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Apr 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Apr 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Apr 01 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 01 $29 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Apr 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Apr 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Apr 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 01 $3 +$8 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Apr 01 $10 +$33 +329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Apr 01 $14 +$29 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Apr 01 $2 +$4 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Apr 01 $22 +$34 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 01 $40 +$6 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$700
sports 6% −$69
other 3% +$92
weather 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 100¢ $173 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 29¢ $51 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 34¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $178 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $112 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $4 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $17 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $0 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -43.4% -48.8% 17% 17% -19.4%
≤30d 6 -43.4% -48.8% 17% 17% -19.4%
≤90d 119 -14.1% -22.2% 34% 31% -33.3%
all 121 -12.6% -20.9% 36% 32% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 32% -30.2%
10% -28.5% 31% -36.8%
15% -35.4% 30% -42.9%
20% -41.7% 26% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 372 history records