Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0892…7c15
crypto · 540 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$244 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$244 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$244
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses291 / 249
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)540 / 540
History coverage54d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$41
14 days+$33
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $98 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$31 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $66 +$54 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$48 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $95 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $80 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 08 $64 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $35 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $19 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $48 +$65 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $55 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $7 +$9 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$5 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$265
other 2% −$2
sports 1% −$10
weather 0% −$9
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $98 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +0.0% -9.5% 64% 44% -5.4%
≤30d 316 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 47% -8.5%
≤90d 540 -3.6% -12.7% 54% 45% -6.7%
all 540 -3.6% -12.7% 54% 45% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 45% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 38% -15.6%
15% -28.7% 33% -23.8%
20% -35.7% 27% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2346 history records