Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0895…e17b
crypto · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open −$131
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$403
Realized−$19
Unrealized−$131
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses42 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)72 / 74
History coverage1d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day1980.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 57¢ 96¢ $127 $216 +$89 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 65¢ 55¢ $172 $144 −$29 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 39¢ 46¢ $27 $32 +$5 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 47¢ 4¢ $147 $11 −$136 (-93%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $366 +$31 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $223 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $154 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -51%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $721 −$40 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $237 +$12 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $191 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $284 −$183 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $184 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $161 +$42 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $234 −$56 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $414 +$66 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $319 +$25 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $112 +$52 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $258 +$22 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $387 −$58 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $201 −$161 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $399 +$65 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $303 −$98 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$13 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $284 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $245 +$28 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $253 −$163 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $179 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $684 +$74 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $367 −$3 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $754 +$161 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $600 −$60 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $369 +$55 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $458 +$34 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $490 +$31 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$150
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -10.5% -19.0% 58% 33% -9.6%
≤30d 72 -10.5% -19.0% 58% 33% -9.6%
≤90d 72 -10.5% -19.0% 58% 33% -9.6%
all 72 -10.5% -19.0% 58% 33% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1980.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 33% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 15% -18.3%
15% -33.8% 6% -26.2%
20% -40.3% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $402.52 · official $425.34 · 2050 history records