Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0899…459e
crypto · 965 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,377 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,377 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$2,377
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses942 / 476
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1418 / 965
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2255.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1418 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,377
7 days−$2,377
14 days−$2,377
30 days−$2,377
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1418 -31.1% -37.7% 66% 1% -31.6%
≤30d 1418 -31.1% -37.7% 66% 1% -31.6%
≤90d 1418 -31.1% -37.7% 66% 1% -31.6%
all 1418 -31.1% -37.7% 66% 1% -31.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2255.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 1% -31.6%
10% ← realistic here -43.6% 0% -38.1%
15% -49.1% 0% -44.1%
20% -54.1% 0% -49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.44 · official $59.70 · 3500 history records