Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:27:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x089f…f599
sports · 682 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$995 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$972 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$972
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses256 / 419
Est. fees paid−$141
Open positions7
Markets (closed)675 / 682
History coverage51d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day50.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 7 History 675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$152
14 days−$360
30 days−$360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Czechia 32¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 55¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-99%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 62¢ 62¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? No 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova Nikola Bartunkova 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? No 65¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova Dalma Galfi 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? No 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Elmer Moeller 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Katie Volynets Darja Semenistaja 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? No 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Under 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 81¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 +$2 +197%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +109%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +0%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 $0 -4%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $4 −$1 -15%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 -3%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +146%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$936
other 8% −$40
politics 1% −$8
weather 0% +$14
crypto 0% −$18
world 0% −$1
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 98¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 92¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $1 22m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 55¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 23¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 22¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 61¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 85¢ $1 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 61¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $1 3h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 62¢ $2 3h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 38¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 72¢ $1 4h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 63¢ $3 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 62¢ $2 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 35¢ $1 4h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta BUY Thanapet Chanta 78¢ $3 12h
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li BUY Mei Yamaguchi 33¢ $2 13h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -17.5% -25.4% 45% 33% -18.5%
≤30d 293 -23.3% -30.6% 43% 32% -21.7%
≤90d 675 -16.2% -24.2% 38% 25% -17.3%
all 675 -16.2% -24.2% 38% 25% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 25% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 20% -25.2%
15% -38.0% 15% -32.4%
20% -44.1% 12% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.71 · official $5.98 (match) · 3155 history records