trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 19% | 19% | -19.4% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 19% | 19% | -19.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 19% | 19% | -19.4% |
| all | 21 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 19% | 19% | -19.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.2% | 19% | -19.4% |
| 10% | -23.3% | 19% | -27.1% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 19% | -34.2% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 14% | -40.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $22 | $23 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $23 | $22 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $22 | $22 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $22 | $21 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $22 | +$16 | +73% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $26 | −$4 | -14% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $34 | −$5 | -13% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$2 | -16% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$4 | -34% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $25 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$15 | -52% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$5 | -18% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $63 | −$12 | -20% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $39 | −$18 | -47% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$7 | +48% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 13 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $32 | −$13 | -41% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$5 | -46% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $34 | −$4 | -13% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $16 | +$20 | +127% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $34 | −$26 | -77% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $33 | +$19 | +57% |
| Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -16% |