Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:55:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
08 0x08cc…67ba sports 44 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (273 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$165 (+27%) realized +$165 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +322% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +225% what you keep after slip
Net edge+225%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%24W / 20L
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day273.4pace
Fees−$36est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$162
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (273 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+281.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +321.9% +281.7% 55% 55% +13.0%
≤30d 44 +321.9% +281.7% 55% 55% +13.0%
≤90d 44 +321.9% +281.7% 55% 55% +13.0%
all 44 +321.9% +281.7% 55% 55% +13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover273.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +281.7% 55% +13.0%
10% ← realistic here +245.2% 55% +2.1%
15% +211.9% 55% -7.7%
20% +181.3% 50% -16.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +33% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +322% · $-wt +33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +251% → late +393% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$12 · ×1.39 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.67 per $1 lost it wins $1.67
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses24 / 20
Est. fees paid−$36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day273.4
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 44 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $3 +$37 +1437%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $2 +$6 +324%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $3 +$37 +1232%
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Jun 18 $5 +$4 +83%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $54 +$28 +52%
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 18 $53 −$52 -99%
Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $6 +$7 +124%
Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $3 +$4 +110%
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Carole Monnet Jun 18 $7 +$6 +90%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 18 $15 +$8 +52%
Brescia: Darya Astakhova vs Luisina Giovannini Jun 18 $27 +$10 +38%
Dublin: Yi Zhou vs Nicolas Mejia Jun 18 $14 +$9 +66%
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Jun 18 $52 +$99 +192%
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Ristic Jun 18 $31 +$11 +36%
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jerome Kym Jun 18 $14 −$4 -26%
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Leo Raquillet Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Sebastian Gomez Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Figueira Da Foz: Anastasia Kulikova vs Alina Charaeva Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Luca Van Assche Jun 18 $54 −$54 -100%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 18 $6 +$11 +183%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Preston Jun 18 $3 +$4 +140%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Valentina Ryser Jun 18 $54 +$35 +66%
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 18 $14 +$18 +132%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $8 +$15 +184%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $2 +$28 +1398%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Matias Soto Jun 17 $3 +$3 +102%
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Francisco Cerundolo Jun 17 $26 +$16 +60%
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Ryo Tabata Jun 17 $15 +$3 +23%
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 17 $0 $0 +100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $3 +$2 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $40 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $5 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $40 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 20¢ $3 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 7¢ $0 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 9¢ $0 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 9¢ $0 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 10¢ $2 2h
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauri SELL Buvaysar Gadamauri 12¢ $10 2h
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauri BUY Buvaysar Gadamauri 4¢ $1 2h
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauri BUY Buvaysar Gadamauri 5¢ $3 2h
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauri BUY Buvaysar Gadamauri 6¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 3¢ $24 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 3¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 2¢ $27 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 2¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 2¢ $21 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 1¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 2¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 2¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 2¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 2¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 3¢ $8 2h
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1¢ $11 2h
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1¢ $1 2h
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 424 history records