Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:43:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
08 0x08da…08d4 crypto 254 markets active 4d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$38 (-4%) realized −$38 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate54%136W / 118L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day71.9pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$53
other 6% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 38% -16.8%
≤30d 254 -13.8% -22.0% 54% 39% -15.7%
≤90d 254 -13.8% -22.0% 54% 39% -15.7%
all 254 -13.8% -22.0% 54% 39% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 39% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 23% -23.8%
15% -36.3% 11% -31.1%
20% -42.5% 6% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses136 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)254 / 254
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day71.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 254 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$5 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 692 history records