Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08df…e1f1
crypto · 297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$358 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$360 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$360
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses172 / 124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)296 / 297
History coverage33d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day96.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days+$89
14 days+$86
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 77¢ 56¢ $38 $27 −$10 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 32¢ 44¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $221 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$10 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$30 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $191 −$87 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$14 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$17 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$20 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$16 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$18 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$12 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $143 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $256 −$29 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $236 +$58 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $218 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $139 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $202 −$14 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $147 +$13 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$358
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +6.7% -3.5% 61% 32% -7.7%
≤30d 118 +1.9% -7.8% 60% 33% -7.8%
≤90d 296 +0.4% -9.2% 58% 38% -10.9%
all 296 +0.4% -9.2% 58% 38% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 38% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 28% -19.4%
15% -25.8% 16% -27.2%
20% -33.1% 10% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.43 · official $39.51 · 3500 history records