Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08e0…f4a0
sports · 668 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$804 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$792 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized−$792
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses375 / 288
Est. fees paid−$432
Open positions5
Markets (closed)663 / 668
History coverage54d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day49.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$279
14 days−$436
30 days−$850
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 70¢ $30 $45 +$15 (+50%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 81¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 54¢ 52¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A Abyssal 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $18 +$10 +58%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $30 +$13 +43%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$20 +66%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 11 $30 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 11 $30 −$19 -63%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $31 +$37 +120%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $30 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $30 +$27 +89%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 09 $19 +$2 +9%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 09 $21 −$9 -44%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $27 +$4 +14%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $20 +$4 +21%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qu Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 08 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Play Jun 08 $12 +$2 +16%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) Jun 08 $3 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 08 $21 +$4 +21%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $28 +$22 +78%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 08 $12 −$11 -91%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 08 $30 −$30 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 07 $2 +$3 +165%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 07 $2 +$1 +46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 07 $2 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $28 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $26 +$6 +22%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $24 +$20 +82%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $22 +$31 +143%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5) Jun 07 $2 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Grou Jun 07 $1 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$699
other 2% −$67
world 0% −$4
crypto 0% −$13
weather 0% −$26
culture 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 94¢ $19 3h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 94¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 94¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 94¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL Abyssal 94¢ $21 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $30 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $31 10h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 95¢ $8 18h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 94¢ $42 19h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL Abyssal 79¢ $4 20h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL Abyssal 79¢ $1 20h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 94¢ $9 21h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 94¢ $9 21h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL Abyssal 79¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL Abyssal 79¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 74¢ $30 22h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 59¢ $18 22h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Marsborne 92¢ $30 23h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S BUY SPARTA 48¢ $30 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 65¢ $30 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 38¢ $31 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $20 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $8 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $8 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $1 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 94¢ $7 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $30 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -27.1% -34.1% 44% 36% -34.9%
≤30d 261 -10.1% -18.7% 58% 55% -17.5%
≤90d 663 -5.8% -14.8% 57% 50% -12.2%
all 663 -5.8% -14.8% 57% 50% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 50% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 38% -20.6%
15% -30.4% 30% -28.3%
20% -37.2% 22% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.10 · official $103.11 (match) · 3067 history records