Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08ea…3cf4
sports · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$256 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$251
Realized−$215
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses1 / 6
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)7 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day38.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 5 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$215
7 days−$215
14 days−$215
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $176 $177 +$1 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 42¢ $71 $69 −$1 (-2%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 47¢ 12¢ $14 $4 −$10 (-73%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 54¢ 2¢ $21 $1 −$20 (-97%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Boston Breach 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Paris Gentle Mates 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier OpTic Texas 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $35 −$2 -7%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $25 −$2 -9%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $121 +$31 +26%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $119 −$117 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $91 −$90 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$85
sports 47% −$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $33 14m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 60¢ $33 15m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 44¢ $23 45m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 33¢ $23 45m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $49 47m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ $5 58m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ $5 59m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut SELL Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $51 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $5 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $10 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $20 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $10 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $5 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 99¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Boston Breach 10¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Boston Breach 48¢ $5 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Boston Breach 41¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $81 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $24 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 34¢ $11 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 47¢ $14 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 57¢ $11 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $35 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 35¢ $25 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 33¢ $5 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 43¢ $15 4h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 41¢ $10 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $152 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-60.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -55.8% -60.0% 14% 14% -55.5%
≤30d 7 -55.8% -60.0% 14% 14% -55.5%
≤90d 7 -55.8% -60.0% 14% 14% -55.5%
all 7 -55.8% -60.0% 14% 14% -55.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.0% 14% -55.5%
10% ← realistic here -63.8% 14% -59.8%
15% -67.3% 0% -63.7%
20% -70.5% 0% -67.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $250.97 · official $261.97 · 38 history records