Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08f0…7196
crypto · 106 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$109 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$121
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses32 / 58
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions16
Markets (closed)90 / 106
History coverage13d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 16 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$6
14 days−$121
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Ecuador? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +102%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$14 +276%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $2 +$12 +605%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 14 $2 +$4 +216%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +596%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $3 −$2 -98%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 06 $5 −$1 -22%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1 +$2 +165%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -10%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $3 +$3 +109%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 03 $3 $0 -4%
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Jun 03 $2 $0 -6%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $4 +$2 +41%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $1 $0 -6%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $1 $0 -7%
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 02 $1 $0 -9%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 02 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$1 -19%
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 02 $2 −$2 -83%
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda Jun 02 $10 $0 -4%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $4 −$4 -99%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 02 $10 +$3 +34%
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton Jun 02 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 02 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 02 $60 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$96
sports 21% −$5
other 14% −$24
weather 1% −$2
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 9m
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 9m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? SELL Yes 11¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Ecuador? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 4h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 16h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 16h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $2 18h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 22h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 24h
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? SELL Yes 66¢ $10 24h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 24h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 24h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 25h
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +51.3% +36.9% 40% 40% -15.6%
≤30d 90 -4.2% -13.4% 36% 24% -28.4%
≤90d 90 -4.2% -13.4% 36% 24% -28.4%
all 90 -4.2% -13.4% 36% 24% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 24% -28.4%
10% -21.6% 22% -35.3%
15% -29.2% 16% -41.5%
20% -36.2% 14% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.53 · official $53.41 (match) · 228 history records