Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:27:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x08ff…079e
other · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses15 / 83
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)98 / 98
History coverage88d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $34 $0 -0%
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $10 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $16 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 05 $19 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 05 $45 $0 +0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 28 $35 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $345 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $105 $0 -0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $13 $0 -0%
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $20 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 16 $89 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 16 $83 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $181 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $266 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 08 $86 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $89 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $87 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $86 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 04 $84 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $83 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 03 $83 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $87 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $86 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $153 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $89 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? May 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio Apr 25 $90 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 24 $84 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 20 $89 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $182 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $263 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $159 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $88 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $204 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $232 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $254 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $85 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $86 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 13 $88 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $219 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $86 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $215 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 11 $94 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $320 $0 -0%
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 11 $87 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 10 $89 $0 -0%
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 10 $91 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 09 $293 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$2
politics 18% −$2
sports 5% −$3
economics 4% −$1
world 3% $0
tech 3% $0
culture 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 6d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 7d
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 7d
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 8d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $16 9d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $16 9d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $17 17d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $17 17d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 17d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? BUY No 100¢ $19 18d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $17 18d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $17 19d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $18 22d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $18 22d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 23d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 24d
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Colorado Rockies 38¢ $7 24d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $18 24d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $18 24d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 100¢ $45 25d
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $20 25d
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $20 25d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $89 28d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $89 28d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $83 29d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $83 30d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $89 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 14 -7.2% -16.1% 14% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 98 +2.0% -7.7% 15% 10% -9.6%
all 98 +2.0% -7.7% 15% 10% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 10% -9.6%
10% -16.6% 10% -18.3%
15% -24.6% 9% -26.2%
20% -32.0% 8% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 288 history records