Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:14:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0900…c85a
crypto · 1854 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1276 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1771 / 1854
History coverage11d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day197.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,257
7 days−$535
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -141%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,514
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1264 -4.8% -13.9% 66% 66% -17.6%
≤30d 1771 +2.7% -7.1% 72% 72% -9.7%
≤90d 1771 +2.7% -7.1% 72% 72% -9.7%
all 1771 +2.7% -7.1% 72% 72% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover197.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 72% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 72% -18.4%
15% -24.1% 29% -26.2%
20% -31.6% 15% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.30 · official $33.30 (match) · 3500 history records