Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0902…54f8
crypto · 61 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$7 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses42 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$6
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 +$6 +31%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +138%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$3
other 19% +$13
sports 11% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 82¢ $14 5h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 98¢ $15 5h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 14h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +2.7% -7.1% 67% 52% -6.8%
≤30d 61 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 49% -6.5%
≤90d 61 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 49% -6.5%
all 61 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 49% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.0% 49% -6.5%
10% -12.3% 36% -15.4%
15% -20.8% 23% -23.6%
20% -28.5% 16% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 164 history records