Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x090a…0fa6
other · 253 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28,658 -110%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,060 · open −$5,261
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized−$21,060
Unrealized−$5,261
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses8 / 234
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions26
Markets (closed)242 / 253
History coverage50d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day59.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 26 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,456
7 days−$6,667
14 days−$6,665
30 days−$6,663
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $449 $11 −$438 (-98%)
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $444 $11 −$434 (-98%)
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $444 $11 −$433 (-98%)
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $442 $11 −$432 (-98%)
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $437 $11 −$426 (-98%)
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $436 $11 −$425 (-98%)
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $436 $11 −$425 (-98%)
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $431 $11 −$420 (-98%)
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $430 $11 −$420 (-98%)
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $427 $10 −$417 (-98%)
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $326 $8 −$318 (-98%)
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $276 $7 −$269 (-98%)
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $245 $6 −$239 (-98%)
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $154 $4 −$150 (-98%)
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-0 $0 +$0 (-337%)
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-96%)
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-0 $0 +$0 (-291%)
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-0 $0 +$0 (-291%)
Will Perú Libre (PL) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 12 $0 $0 +99%
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $546 −$438 -80%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $543 −$435 -80%
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $546 −$438 -80%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $524 −$416 -79%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $510 −$402 -79%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $510 −$403 -79%
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $544 −$436 -80%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $544 −$437 -80%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $542 −$434 -80%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $541 −$434 -80%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $541 −$433 -80%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $539 −$432 -80%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $542 −$434 -80%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $536 −$428 -80%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $290 −$182 -63%
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $32 −$7 -21%
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $29 −$4 -13%
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $24 +$1 +3%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 09 $22 −$1 -4%
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $89 −$89 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 04 $0 $0 +100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 03 $2 $0 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 03 $2 +$1 +70%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? May 31 $2 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? May 29 $2 +$2 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$14,809
politics 18% −$4,945
economics 12% −$2,166
sports 11% −$3,535
tech 1% −$291
culture 1% −$260
world 0% −$43
crypto 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 38m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 38m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 52m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 53m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 53m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54m
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 54m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY No 98¢ $98 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY No 96¢ $96 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet BUY No 7¢ $7 2h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 99¢ $99 2h
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 96¢ $16 3h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 95¢ $16 3h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 67¢ $11 3h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 93¢ $15 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 3h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $16 3h
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $16 3h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $16 3h
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $16 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-91.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -73.2% -75.7% 7% 5% -81.4%
≤30d 51 -56.7% -60.8% 16% 12% -81.3%
≤90d 242 -90.7% -91.6% 3% 2% -92.5%
all 242 -90.7% -91.6% 3% 2% -92.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -91.6% 2% -92.5%
10% ← realistic here -92.4% 2% -93.2%
15% -93.1% 2% -93.9%
20% -93.8% 2% -94.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.46 · official $132.46 (match) · 3500 history records