Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x090b…ac0b
crypto · 88 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses40 / 48
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 88
History coverage142d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$7
14 days−$12
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 30 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 30 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 25 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 23 $1 +$1 +124%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -20.0% -27.7% 45% 36% -18.8%
≤30d 53 -22.5% -29.8% 43% 40% -27.7%
≤90d 67 -17.5% -25.4% 46% 42% -21.2%
all 88 -21.6% -29.1% 45% 41% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 41% -22.5%
10% -35.8% 38% -30.0%
15% -42.0% 33% -36.7%
20% -47.7% 25% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records