Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:15:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x090c…48c7
crypto · 1842 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$419 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$412 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$412
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1392 / 448
Open positions22
Markets (closed)1840 / 1842
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day126.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 22 History 1840 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$218
14 days−$328
30 days−$412
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 61¢ 63¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? No 90¢ 92¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 61¢ 61¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 53¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 31¢ 30¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 52¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 25¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 22¢ 20¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$333
other 1% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $6 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 24m
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 55¢ $6 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 31¢ $4 1h
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1252 -4.0% -13.1% 79% 48% -12.8%
≤30d 1840 -3.3% -12.5% 76% 49% -13.6%
≤90d 1840 -3.3% -12.5% 76% 49% -13.6%
all 1840 -3.3% -12.5% 76% 49% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 49% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 19% -21.8%
15% -28.5% 13% -29.4%
20% -35.6% 10% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.76 · official $96.15 · 3500 history records