Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x091e…2545
crypto · 1701 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$175 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$172 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$172
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1176 / 516
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1692 / 1701
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day103.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 1692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$49
14 days−$44
30 days−$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-9%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$14 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$158
other 3% −$1
sports 3% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 50m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 51m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 11h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $6 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $5 11h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $6 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 488 +1.8% -7.9% 68% 68% -5.9%
≤30d 1692 -0.7% -10.1% 70% 69% -11.6%
≤90d 1692 -0.7% -10.1% 70% 69% -11.6%
all 1692 -0.7% -10.1% 70% 69% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 69% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 56% -20.0%
15% -26.6% 38% -27.8%
20% -33.8% 16% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.57 · official $83.57 (match) · 3500 history records