Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0947…9e92
weather · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses1 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day66.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? Jun 14 $61 −$9 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 14 $3 $0 -2%
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S Jun 14 $40 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $26 $0 -2%
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 14 $26 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $4 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? Jun 14 $0 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $8 −$2 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $15 −$14 -90%
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Gro Jun 14 $11 −$3 -24%
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup Jun 14 $20 −$3 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $16 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? Jun 13 $18 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -24%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Jun 13 $2 $0 -24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 47% −$21
other 31% −$11
crypto 18% −$9
politics 3% −$1
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 29¢ $14 1h
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 1h
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? SELL No 61¢ $30 1h
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $34 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 49¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 49¢ $3 2h
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St SELL No 61¢ $0 7h
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St BUY No 63¢ $0 7h
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St SELL No 63¢ $0 7h
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St BUY No 65¢ $0 7h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S SELL No 62¢ $10 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S SELL No 68¢ $4 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S SELL No 68¢ $11 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY No 65¢ $13 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY No 67¢ $2 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY No 67¢ $11 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S SELL No 68¢ $13 8h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY No 68¢ $14 8h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 52¢ $26 8h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 52¢ $26 8h
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? SELL No 75¢ $10 9h
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? BUY No 77¢ $10 9h
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? SELL No 76¢ $15 10h
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? BUY No 81¢ $16 10h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? SELL No 29¢ $4 10h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 28¢ $4 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? SELL Yes 41¢ $0 11h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 41¢ $0 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14? SELL No 42¢ $6 13h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 56¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -13.9% -22.1% 3% 0% -20.9%
≤30d 36 -13.9% -22.1% 3% 0% -20.9%
≤90d 36 -13.9% -22.1% 3% 0% -20.9%
all 36 -13.9% -22.1% 3% 0% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 0% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 0% -28.5%
15% -36.4% 0% -35.4%
20% -42.6% 0% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records