trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 01 | $69 | −$16 | -24% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 01 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Apr 27 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap | Apr 24 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 24 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 23 | $41 | +$27 | +67% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 23 | $136 | +$136 | +100% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 16 | $165 | +$104 | +63% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 08 | $83 | +$83 | +100% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Feb 13 | $40 | +$30 | +75% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa | Feb 12 | $15 | +$5 | +33% |
| BPL: Noakhali vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1) | Jan 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 7? | Jan 06 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 8 | +13.2% | +2.4% | 38% | 38% | +13.2% |
| all | 13 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 46% | 46% | +21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +4.5% | 46% | +21.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -5.5% | 46% | +10.1% |
| 15% | -14.6% | 38% | -0.5% |
| 20% | -23.0% | 38% | -10.3% |