Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:58:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x0960…e987 other 53 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$71 (-12%) realized −$71 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 53L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day28.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit36%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 55% −$50
world 13% −$16
tech 12% −$3
sports 9% −$6
finance 4% −$1
culture 4% −$6
politics 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -16.6% -24.5% 0% 0% -22.1%
≤30d 53 -16.6% -24.5% 0% 0% -22.1%
≤90d 53 -16.6% -24.5% 0% 0% -22.1%
all 53 -16.6% -24.5% 0% 0% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 0% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 0% -29.6%
15% -38.3% 0% -36.4%
20% -44.4% 0% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$2 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 53
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage4d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17? Jun 15 $13 $0 -3%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? Jun 15 $9 −$1 -11%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? Jun 15 $16 −$1 -4%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3 Jun 15 $9 −$1 -13%
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on Jun 15 $8 −$1 -9%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $193 Week of June 15 2026? Jun 15 $20 −$1 -6%
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa Jun 15 $21 −$5 -23%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of June 15 20 Jun 15 $10 −$3 -30%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of June 15 2026? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $195 Week of June 15 2026? Jun 15 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of June 15 2 Jun 15 $14 −$1 -5%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day? Jun 15 $25 −$1 -4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026? Jun 15 $13 −$1 -7%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $167.50 Week of June 15 2 Jun 15 $23 −$1 -3%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of June 15 2026 Jun 15 $9 $0 -4%
Will IR Iran (20) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FI Jun 14 $4 −$2 -54%
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m Jun 14 $21 −$6 -28%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $2 $0 -12%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? Jun 14 $22 −$1 -3%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $16 $0 -3%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $14 −$2 -14%
Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FI Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 14 $16 −$6 -37%
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? Jun 14 $18 $0 -2%
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I? Jun 14 $17 $0 -2%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week Jun 14 $0 $0 -12%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? Jun 14 $1 $0 -52%
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group St Jun 14 $14 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 14 $24 −$6 -25%
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 14 $15 −$3 -18%
Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 Jun 13 $8 −$4 -45%
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane Jun 13 $13 $0 -3%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026? Jun 13 $12 −$1 -7%
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime s Jun 13 $11 −$2 -16%
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 13 $12 $0 -4%
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? Jun 13 $12 −$1 -6%
Will Paraguay go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Gro Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group S Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Will Florian Wirtz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 −$8 -90%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? Jun 12 $26 −$6 -24%
Will Santiago Arias be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17? SELL No 80¢ $13 39m
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17? BUY No 82¢ $13 39m
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? SELL Yes 40¢ $8 1h
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? BUY Yes 43¢ $9 1h
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? SELL Yes 69¢ $16 2h
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? BUY Yes 70¢ $16 2h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3 SELL No 40¢ $8 6h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3 BUY No 44¢ $9 6h
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on SELL No 31¢ $8 6h
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on BUY No 33¢ $8 6h
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $193 Week of June 15 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $8 6h
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $193 Week of June 15 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $1 6h
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $193 Week of June 15 2026? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa SELL Yes 42¢ $9 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $0 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY Yes 43¢ $1 6h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa SELL No 36¢ $7 8h
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fa BUY No 56¢ $11 8h
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of June 15 20 SELL Yes 29¢ $7 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 130 history records