Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x096a…4001 crypto 689 markets active 0h ago coverage 76d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$200 (-3%) realized −$200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate47%327W / 362L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day14.2pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$183
other 6% −$100
sports 3% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -0.7% -10.1% 39% 39% -10.2%
≤30d 183 -5.1% -14.1% 39% 39% -10.8%
≤90d 689 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 44% -14.1%
all 689 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 44% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 44% -14.1%
10% -27.8% 35% -22.3%
15% -34.7% 29% -29.8%
20% -41.1% 27% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$9 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses327 / 362
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)689 / 689
History coverage76d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 689 Trades
no open positions (130 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$78 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $53 −$17 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$84 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $53 −$32 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $63 +$59 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$83 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $53 −$51 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$3 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$5 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$4 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$9 +208%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 27 $105 +$45 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$118 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$85 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$95 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$111 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$60 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 27 $46 −$44 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $55 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $53 +$162 +307%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$53 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$78 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $121 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $35 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $53 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $137 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $53 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $135 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $122 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $53 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1592 history records