trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +107.5% | +87.7% | 100% | 100% | +88.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +12.0% | +1.4% | 90% | 20% | +15.6% |
| all | 14 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 93% | 14% | +13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 14% | +13.1% |
| 10% | -10.8% | 14% | +2.2% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 14% | -7.6% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 14% | -16.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $230 | $227 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $152 | +$173 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $135 | +$137 | +101% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5? | May 18 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 18 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $165 | −$163 | -99% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 03 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 11? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30? | Jan 09 | $14 | $0 | +0% |