Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x0978…78d0
sports · 551 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$201 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses228 / 320
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions3
Markets (closed)548 / 551
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$59
14 days−$124
30 days−$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 41¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+143%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 61¢ 46¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-25%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Partizan 54¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Hurricanes 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang Priska Madelyn Nugroho 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis Galarneau Yu-Hsiou Hsu 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes: O/U 160.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Szentendre: Yannik Kelm vs Peter Fajta Peter Fajta 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Mao Mushika vs Kanon Sawashiro Kanon Sawashiro 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Bahcesehir Koleji 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Faurel vs. Tabur: Match O/U 22.5 Over 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Bartunkova Eala 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Emile Hudd 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wichita: Ozan Baris vs Duncan Chan Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 +$5 +262%
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$5 +226%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +124%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 11 $2 +$4 +172%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +101%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
ITF Nice: Masha Lazarenko vs Alina Granwehr Jun 11 $2 +$1 +67%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $2 +$4 +172%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Jun 11 $2 +$3 +129%
Faurel vs. Tabur: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$230
other 4% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Wichita: Ozan Baris vs Duncan Chan BUY Ozan Baris 63¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 61¢ $2 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 54¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 41¢ $2 1h
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Emile Hudd 60¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 48¢ $2 2h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 2h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 47¢ $2 3h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 54¢ $2 3h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ $2 3h
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 35¢ $2 3h
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Dan Added 41¢ $2 3h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 42¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 59¢ $2 3h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 51¢ $2 4h
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe BUY Lehecka 45¢ $2 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 46¢ $2 4h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 54¢ $2 4h
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak BUY Auger-Aliassime 35¢ $2 4h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 34¢ $2 7h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 28¢ $2 7h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 51¢ $2 9h
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino BUY Mannarino 47¢ $2 9h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 50¢ $2 9h
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria BUY Rybakina 40¢ $2 9h
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos BUY Gilles Arnaud Bailly 63¢ $2 10h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 61¢ $2 10h
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 61¢ $2 16h
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura BUY Kokoro Isomura 48¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 -9.5% -18.1% 44% 44% -20.0%
≤30d 548 -9.5% -18.2% 42% 41% -16.9%
≤90d 548 -9.5% -18.2% 42% 41% -16.9%
all 548 -9.5% -18.2% 42% 41% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 41% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 40% -24.9%
15% -33.1% 38% -32.1%
20% -39.7% 37% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.40 · official $7.40 (match) · 824 history records