Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T00:04:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x097f…19fb crypto 69 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$201 (-19%) realized −$201 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate52%36W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day21.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 36% -25.4%
≤30d 69 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 36% -25.4%
≤90d 69 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 36% -25.4%
all 69 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 36% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 36% -25.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 22% -32.5%
15% -38.9% 13% -39.0%
20% -44.9% 13% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$13 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$201
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses36 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage4d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $36 +$39 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 29 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $35 +$27 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 29 $17 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 29 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 29 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$6 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $54 −$54 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 29 $7 +$16 +232%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 29 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 29 $21 +$5 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$6 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 29 $17 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 29 $18 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $19 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 29 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 29 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$20 +498%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$6 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$13 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $33 +$22 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$13 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $18 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $23 +$4 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$2 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $36 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $35 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $32 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $36 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $34 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $16 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $7 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $19 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $7 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $16 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $19 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $3 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 155 history records