Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x098e…310d crypto 1216 markets active 6h ago coverage 96d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 95d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$674 (-1%) realized −$674 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate97%1179W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day20.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$14
14 days+$6
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$80
world 0% −$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -1.1% -10.5% 98% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 225 -0.0% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 983 -0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.7%
all 1216 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 3% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 3% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$674
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1179 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1216 / 1216
History coverage96d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1216 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $22 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $22 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records