Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09a9…1be9
crypto · 588 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$284 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$281 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$281
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses212 / 375
Open positions1
Markets (closed)587 / 588
History coverage32d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day63.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$120
14 days−$171
30 days−$261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 36¢ 44¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 80¢ 56¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$283
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -10.5% -19.1% 35% 27% -15.6%
≤30d 517 -6.2% -15.2% 36% 32% -16.3%
≤90d 587 -6.2% -15.1% 36% 32% -15.8%
all 587 -6.2% -15.1% 36% 32% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 32% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 29% -23.8%
15% -30.7% 27% -31.2%
20% -37.5% 26% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.17 · official $11.43 (match) · 2413 history records