Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09ad…04e4
other · 54 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$1,590 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,565 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$1,565
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses2 / 51
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage62d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$50
14 days−$150
30 days−$863
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $25 −$25 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $52 −$50 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $52 −$50 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 27 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 27 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 27 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 09 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 09 $130 −$130 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 09 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 09 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 28 $125 −$125 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 28 $110 +$271 +245%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 28 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 28 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $496 −$496 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $81 −$81 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $140 −$140 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $105 −$105 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 18 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 18 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Apr 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Apr 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Apr 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$1,590
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 3h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $45 3h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $14 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $30 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-83.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 14 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 53 -82.1% -83.8% 4% 4% -36.0%
all 53 -82.1% -83.8% 4% 4% -36.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -83.8% 4% -36.0%
10% ← realistic here -85.3% 4% -42.1%
15% -86.8% 4% -47.7%
20% -88.1% 4% -52.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.00 · official $25.00 (match) · 3500 history records