Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09b2…a017
sports · 263 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$28,652 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,816 · open +$670
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,827
Realized+$12,816
Unrealized+$670
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses115 / 106
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$1,905
Open positions47
Markets (closed)221 / 263
History coverage48d
Avg bet$555
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 47 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$288
7 days+$5,093
14 days−$12,799
30 days+$6,339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $3,354 $3,163 −$191 (-6%)
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 75¢ 98¢ $2,156 $2,789 +$633 (+29%)
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 94¢ $1,755 $2,050 +$295 (+17%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 53¢ 62¢ $553 $653 +$100 (+18%)
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 92¢ $551 $566 +$14 (+3%)
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 8¢ 10¢ $324 $404 +$81 (+25%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $260 $255 −$5 (-2%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 94¢ $145 $159 +$14 (+10%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $174 $157 −$17 (-10%)
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $124 $77 −$47 (-38%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 64¢ 56¢ $64 $56 −$8 (-12%)
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $65 $49 −$16 (-25%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+3%)
Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $68 $45 −$24 (-35%)
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $15 $42 +$27 (+176%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $89 $40 −$49 (-55%)
Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 75¢ 74¢ $38 $37 −$1 (-2%)
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $56 $35 −$21 (-38%)
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $32 $31 −$1 (-3%)
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $149 $26 −$123 (-83%)
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $28 $21 −$7 (-24%)
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+50%)
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+50%)
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $28 $14 −$14 (-51%)
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,360 +$630 +46%
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 14 $289 +$656 +227%
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? Jun 14 $2,885 +$140 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $300 +$40 +13%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $630 +$30 +5%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $693 −$600 -87%
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? Jun 14 $72 +$2 +3%
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 14 $695 +$20 +3%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $368 +$2 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $400 +$1,600 +400%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,410 −$1,410 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $521 −$521 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1,684 −$157 -9%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $56 $0 -0%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $240 −$213 -89%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $260 +$250 +96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $500 −$500 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $16 +$15 +96%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $260 +$240 +92%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $260 +$5 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $73 −$73 -100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 11 $15,280 +$2,870 +19%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 11 $368 +$288 +78%
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 11 $358 −$191 -53%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $104 −$97 -94%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $104 +$64 +61%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $947 +$387 +41%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Jun 09 $9 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $6 +$4 +61%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $1 +$2 +203%
Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 08 $114 +$28 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,980 +$1,020 +52%
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +61%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $200 −$70 -35%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $340 +$30 +9%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $650 +$350 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $500 +$500 +100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 07 $68 −$61 -89%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $158 −$158 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $350 −$350 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$8,705
other 36% +$4,826
crypto 0% −$41
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 1m
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 29m
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $13 40m
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $29 49m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 19¢ $44 50m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $20 1h
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $48 1h
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $31 1h
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $27 1h
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $908 1h
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 65¢ $32 1h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $49 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $211 2h
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 15¢ $4 2h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 40% +5.0%
≤30d 202 +4.9% -5.1% 48% 36% -4.7%
≤90d 221 +14.8% +3.9% 52% 40% -0.4%
all 221 +14.8% +3.9% 52% 40% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.9% 40% -0.4%
10% -6.1% 35% -9.9%
15% ← realistic here -15.2% 31% -18.6%
20% -23.5% 27% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,827.31 · official $10,836.42 (match) · 3500 history records