Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:48:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09b5…fd79
sports · 326 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$2,035 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,797 · open −$82
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$428
Realized+$1,797
Unrealized−$82
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses158 / 154
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions14
Markets (closed)312 / 326
History coverage56d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 14 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$577
7 days+$1,080
14 days+$1,465
30 days+$1,465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $55 $53 −$2 (-3%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $52 $52 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 28¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 52¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 49¢ 49¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 48¢ $26 $25 −$2 (-7%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 48¢ 46¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 37¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-6%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 12¢ $90 $23 −$67 (-74%)
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Yes 26¢ 20¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes 10¢ 7¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-29%)
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Yes 19¢ 12¢ $10 $6 −$3 (-34%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 9¢ 12¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 54¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 15¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 56¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Avalanche 21¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $50 +$94 +188%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $58 +$78 +134%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $25 +$28 +109%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $107 +$95 +90%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $86 −$18 -21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $78 −$61 -79%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $32 +$121 +379%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $61 +$46 +76%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $25 +$21 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $25 +$28 +109%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $56 +$50 +90%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $38 +$37 +99%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $51 +$38 +75%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $89 +$60 +67%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $76 −$75 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 +$28 +109%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$21 +70%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $34 +$16 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $25 +$24 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$21 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $32 +$18 +57%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $25 +$13 +50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $147 +$166 +113%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $57 −$56 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $61 +$43 +70%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $71 −$48 -67%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $122 +$80 +65%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $59 −$58 -99%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $64 −$46 -73%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $99 +$112 +113%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $123 +$105 +85%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $156 −$102 -66%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $55 +$45 +83%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $51 +$29 +57%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $51 +$58 +114%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $59 +$46 +78%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $60 +$42 +70%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $15 +$29 +188%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $50 +$20 +40%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $54 +$205 +379%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $52 +$49 +95%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $42 +$25 +58%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 07 $64 −$7 -11%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $26 +$59 +230%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $30 +$26 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$1,790
other 13% +$32
crypto 1% −$92
politics 0% $0
culture 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $26 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 73¢ $101 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $26 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $25 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $9 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $41 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 42¢ $38 9h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $51 12h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $56 12h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $25 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 59¢ $30 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $35 15h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $25 17h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL No 60¢ $15 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $25 17h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $25 17h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 20h
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 22h
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes 19¢ $9 22h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 22h
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? BUY Yes 19¢ $0 22h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 21¢ $20 22h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 20¢ $10 23h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $1 23h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 54¢ $25 27h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $25 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $75 27h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 47¢ $25 27h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 56¢ $61 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +41.4% +28.0% 70% 70% +33.5%
≤30d 173 +8.2% -2.1% 54% 54% +6.0%
≤90d 312 +0.1% -9.4% 51% 50% +1.5%
all 312 +0.1% -9.4% 51% 50% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 50% +1.5%
10% -18.1% 50% -8.2%
15% -26.0% 48% -17.1%
20% -33.3% 44% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $428.13 · official $428.14 (match) · 673 history records