trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -70.9% | -73.7% | 20% | 20% | -95.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -86.8% | -88.0% | 9% | 9% | -95.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -88.8% | -89.9% | 8% | 8% | -96.0% |
| all | 13 | -88.8% | -89.9% | 8% | 8% | -96.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -89.9% | 8% | -96.0% |
| 10% | -90.8% | 8% | -96.4% |
| 15% | -91.7% | 8% | -96.8% |
| 20% | -92.5% | 0% | -97.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $290 | −$290 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | May 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | May 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | May 14 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |