Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09c3…df76
crypto · 81 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,338 -53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,322 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$261
Realized−$11,322
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses173 / 277
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)450 / 81
History coverage1d
Avg bet$264
Trades / day3384.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 450 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,322
7 days−$11,322
14 days−$11,322
30 days−$11,322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 79¢ 80¢ $191 $194 +$3 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 27¢ 20¢ $60 $43 −$17 (-29%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 77¢ 70¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 24¢ 30¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$103 +896%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$50 +630%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$67 +2104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$22 +641%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$59 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $220 −$220 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$159 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$20 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$164 -936%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$57 -110%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$66 +15224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$20 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$12 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$64 +1281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$86 +473%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $232 −$232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$198 +1450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$69 -256%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$539 +8655%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$197 +422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$234 +670%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$145 -255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$47 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $231 −$231 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$49 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$61 +722%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$77 +3848%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$66 +391%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$179 +916%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$30 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$64 -206%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $19 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $19 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $12 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+208.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 450 +241.2% +208.7% 38% 32% -29.9%
≤30d 450 +241.2% +208.7% 38% 32% -29.9%
≤90d 450 +241.2% +208.7% 38% 32% -29.9%
all 450 +241.2% +208.7% 38% 32% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3384.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +208.7% 32% -29.9%
10% ← realistic here +179.1% 30% -36.6%
15% +152.2% 29% -42.7%
20% +127.4% 28% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $260.68 · official $259.56 (match) · 3500 history records