Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:48:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x09d0…9926 crypto 30 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$4 (-4%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate73%22W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day64.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$7
sports 13% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -6.7% -15.6% 73% 50% -12.9%
≤30d 30 -6.7% -15.6% 73% 50% -12.9%
≤90d 30 -6.7% -15.6% 73% 50% -12.9%
all 30 -6.7% -15.6% 73% 50% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 50% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 17% -21.2%
15% -31.1% 10% -28.8%
20% -37.8% 3% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses22 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 30 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +6%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 15 $7 +$3 +38%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $1 +$1 +50%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $1 $0 +21%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -57%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 9h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL Yes 77¢ $8 16h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 75¢ $2 16h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 95¢ $1 16h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 17h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL No 54¢ $2 17h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 78¢ $1 17h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 17h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 17¢ $1 17h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 17h
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 28¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 75 history records