trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -22.0% | -29.4% | 40% | 40% | -60.9% |
| all | 29 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 55% | 31% | -55.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 31% | -55.4% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 31% | -59.7% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 28% | -63.6% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 24% | -67.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | No | 43¢ | 74¢ | $4,000 | $6,761 | +$2,761 (+69%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,000 | $999 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw? | May 11 | $1,009 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | May 02 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $308 | +$288 | +93% |
| Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 | Apr 26 | $69 | −$68 | -99% |
| AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 | Mar 08 | $100 | +$92 | +92% |
| VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5 | Mar 07 | $800 | −$800 | -100% |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 | Mar 07 | $700 | −$700 | -100% |
| Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 07 | $925 | −$925 | -100% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 | Mar 07 | $1,921 | +$577 | +30% |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 05 | $2,077 | −$2,077 | -100% |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 05 | $4,725 | −$2,939 | -62% |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 04 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-8.5) | Mar 04 | $20 | +$19 | +96% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) | Feb 13 | $24 | +$27 | +108% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin | Jan 28 | $350 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Dec 17 | $350 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? | Nov 03 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 03 | $310 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 21 | $1,128 | −$3 | -0% |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | Oct 21 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Oct 21 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Trump election interference trial doesn't start before November? | Oct 21 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump sentenced to community service? | Oct 24 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | Sep 26 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on July 26? | Aug 25 | $3 | +$3 | +103% |
| Roaring Kitty billionaire before July? | Jul 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will France win Group D? | Jul 20 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Hunter Biden found guilty in gun case? | Jun 24 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |