Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09e2…4d02
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses46 / 34
Open positions2
Markets (closed)80 / 82
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$39
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 51¢ 88¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 75¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$45
politics 6% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -17.6% -25.5% 57% 31% -25.5%
≤30d 80 -15.5% -23.6% 58% 34% -18.7%
≤90d 80 -15.5% -23.6% 58% 34% -18.7%
all 80 -15.5% -23.6% 58% 34% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.6% 34% -18.7%
10% -30.9% 16% -26.5%
15% -37.6% 6% -33.6%
20% -43.7% 2% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.25 · official $11.02 (match) · 340 history records