Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:29:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09e7…cbc3
crypto · 661 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$351 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$389 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$389
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses220 / 441
Open positions0
Markets (closed)661 / 661
History coverage17d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day117.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 661 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$146
14 days−$344
30 days−$389
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +232%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$389
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-32.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 -20.2% -27.8% 36% 35% -24.8%
≤30d 661 -25.3% -32.4% 33% 33% -24.6%
≤90d 661 -25.3% -32.4% 33% 33% -24.6%
all 661 -25.3% -32.4% 33% 33% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.4% 33% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.9% 29% -31.8%
15% -44.8% 20% -38.4%
20% -50.2% 19% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2206 history records