trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? | Jun 10 | $830 | +$337 | +41% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? | Jun 02 | $2,965 | +$15,348 | +518% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29? | May 29 | $2,777 | +$114 | +4% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? | May 27 | $688 | +$72 | +10% |
| Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | May 08 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7? | May 07 | $151 | +$36 | +24% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Apr 30 | $1,749 | +$73 | +4% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.8%? | Apr 30 | $96 | +$2 | +2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29? | Apr 30 | $2,575 | +$24 | +1% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27? | Apr 28 | $2,574 | +$25 | +1% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | Apr 24 | $211 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3 | Apr 15 | $1,960 | +$538 | +27% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Apr 10 | $1,372 | +$3,020 | +220% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | Apr 06 | $1,297 | +$174 | +13% |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | Apr 03 | $294 | +$16 | +6% |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | Apr 03 | $588 | +$38 | +6% |
| Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%? | Mar 27 | $297 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.6%? | Mar 27 | $297 | +$17 | +6% |
| Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4% | Mar 27 | $297 | +$28 | +9% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting? | Mar 27 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting? | Mar 27 | $297 | +$9 | +3% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11? | Mar 11 | $1,307 | +$31 | +2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | Mar 10 | $515 | +$2,058 | +400% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | Feb 26 | $173 | +$344 | +199% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Feb 18 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +40.7% | +27.3% | 100% | 100% | +27.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +143.2% | +120.0% | 100% | 50% | +188.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 100% | 29% | +74.3% |
| all | 25 | +60.0% | +44.8% | 100% | 32% | +76.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +44.8% | 32% | +76.4% |
| 10% | +30.9% | 28% | +59.5% |
| 15% | +18.3% | 20% | +44.1% |
| 20% | +6.7% | 16% | +30.0% |