trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +73.2% | +56.7% | 100% | 100% | +56.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -47.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -47.7% |
| all | 17 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 29% | 29% | -49.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.6% | 29% | -49.2% |
| 10% | -35.5% | 29% | -54.1% |
| 15% | -41.7% | 29% | -58.5% |
| 20% | -47.4% | 24% | -62.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $200 | $229 | +$29 (+15%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 55¢ | 55¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $150 | $145 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 61¢ | 61¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $3 | −$97 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Jun 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025? | Mar 19 | $100 | +$42 | +42% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Dec 03 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | Dec 03 | $50 | +$283 | +567% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 9, 12PM ET | Nov 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET | Nov 09 | $200 | +$149 | +75% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Nov 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 13? | Nov 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? | Nov 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Nov 06 | $99 | +$84 | +85% |
| Will Netflix dip to $91 in November? | Nov 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November? | Nov 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Nov 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025 | Nov 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will BNB reach $1400 in November? | Nov 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Nov 06 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |