trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | -75.0% | -77.4% | 0% | 0% | -68.3% |
| all | 16 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 69% | 25% | -20.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 25% | -20.5% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 25% | -28.1% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 19% | -35.1% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 19% | -41.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $200 | −$100 | -50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Apr 21 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Feb 19 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Dec 26 | $200 | +$151 | +76% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $200 | +$12 | +6% |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Mar 26 | $100 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will Usyk beat Fury? | Dec 22 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September? | Oct 06 | $120 | +$1 | +0% |
| MetaMask airdrop by September 30? | Oct 06 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Rabby airdrop by September 30? | Oct 06 | $120 | +$1 | +1% |
| Linea airdrop by September 30? | Oct 06 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30? | Oct 06 | $150 | −$86 | -57% |
| Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October? | Oct 06 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will $USDT depeg by September 30? | Oct 06 | $100 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Natus Vincere win ESL Counter-Strike Champion 2024? | Sep 23 | $590 | +$148 | +25% |
| Will Eternal Fire win ESL Counter-Strike Champion 2024? | Sep 22 | $1,000 | −$411 | -41% |